He could try rotating the upper shaft manually with the engine off and the transmission in neutral. If the coupling is coming loose, there is probably going to be some free play. If the coupling is OK, it should be pretty solid.
If the trouble is there, I wouldn't expect the noise to be much louder with the cover off. So I guess it is on open question whether the louder he is hearing is enough louder to prove it is from inside the transmission.
So far, we haven't talked about whether there could be a noise source related to the PTO. I'm assuming this whole situation is going on with the PTO turned off, which eliminates most things PTO related.
I'm inclined to think a chip is imbedded in the oil slinger gear.
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Today's Featured Article - Tuning Up Your Tractor: Cooling and Fuel Systems, Hoses and Belts - by Curtis Von Fange. Our tractor is coming right along. The old oil and filter has been taken to the recycler and the air filter replacement has breathed new life into our motor. Let's take a closer look, now, at the cooling system since it has to work so hard in the summer heat. Cooling systems can be real cantankerous in their old age. Radiator cores clog up with rust, lime or other mineral deposits and the fins clog up with weed seeds and debris. The metal headers slowly corrode away from years of use and
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