I would say here in North-east Iowa they both are declining. They each have different reasons for the decline.
The pulls are fewer because the cost of putting on a pull has increased a lot in just the last 4-5 years. The insurance has doubled in just the last few years. A single night for full modified tractors here can run $5000 just for the insurance. Then the cost that the guys with the new sleds charge has risen too. So it is hard to make them pay.
The shows are declining because fewer guys here own tractors or I should say they are older. I had not gone to the two cylinder club show for years. I went two years ago on Friday afternoon. It was perfect weather. I bet there where not 100 visitors there. Plus the average age of the guys displaying their stuff was real old as well.
When antique tractor values sky rocketed 10-15 years ago it cut out a whole generation from collecting them. So it is hard to get them into it after they are older and maybe into some other hobbies.
Also many people just do not have the time anymore. It is darn hard to get days off at many work places any more. When unemployment is sky high you do not want to risk your job because there are several people that would be glad to do it if you aren't.
I personally have not shown at a show in almost ten years. I go to a few each year but I just don't have the drive to take stuff to a show anymore.
I will be blunt here as well. I have seen all the JD two bangers, Farmall "M", Ford 8Ns or AC WDs before so it is not as a big of a deal anymore. I think that many feel this way. I think that is why harvest days and plow days are becoming more plentiful. People enjoy seeing the old stuff work not just be a trailer Queen.
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