Posted by NY 986 on March 19, 2013 at 06:49:42 from (67.142.178.27):
In Reply to: $8 corn!! $8 corn!! posted by Dave from MN on March 19, 2013 at 06:20:02:
I don't think any landlord around here cares about the true cost of production and the risk of poor weather and so forth. I guess if I were in their shoes I would only worry about top bid, too. The only problem with the dream of today is eventually tomorrow comes and that day can be very sobering. The commodity market will return to more historic prices or the suppliers will raise their prices to the point where margins are as thin as they were back in the 1980's. More operators will be forced out and the landlords will have fewer bidders to force top rental rates. For me personally I can only hope things progress to a point where operators can't think about paying obscene money for rent given the risk. I live in an area where truth be told that even in a good year a lot of fields might make 150 bushel corn tops. Yet guys are paying money like we were in 200 bushel corn across the board. I would be seriously tempted under the right circumstances to rent mine out for a year if corn looked like it was going to be 3.50 to 3.75 (with no adjustment for inputs) and some wild-eyed fool wanted to pay like it was 8.25. Rent would be paid in full upfront, minimum fertilizer required according to test, tiles have to be fixed or working if damaged, etc..
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