I'm not an electrician but I've done a whole lot of wiring for myself and my family members over the years. I've always pulled permits and had the work inspected on any new/sizable work that I've done. I think I have a pretty fair understanding of household wiring.
Having said that, I would make just one more observation about your trying to determine which wires are hot. IF the plumbing in the house is absolutely all metal, you can probably pick up a ground from the plumbing. If, however, at any time during the past 100 years someone has replaced any of the water lines or sewer lines with PVC pipe, there is a good chance that the plumbing is no longer at ground potential. The good news is that neither of the wires that you are trying to determine is hot will show primary voltage on your meter if the reference point that you are working with is not at ground potential. But don't just measure one wire, see that there is no voltage on it, and assume that is the neutral wire. Check both of the wires to insure that one is at primary voltage and the other is at zero potential before you make any decision about which wire is "hot".
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Today's Featured Article - A Cautionary Tale - by Ian Minshull. In the early 1950s my father bought an Allis Chalmers B and I used it for all the row crop work with the mangolds and potatoes, rolling and the haymaking on our farm. The farm and the Allis were sold and I have spent a lifetime working on farms throughout the country. I promised myself that one day I would own an Allis. That time event
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