I'm not an electrician but I've done a whole lot of wiring for myself and my family members over the years. I've always pulled permits and had the work inspected on any new/sizable work that I've done. I think I have a pretty fair understanding of household wiring.
Having said that, I would make just one more observation about your trying to determine which wires are hot. IF the plumbing in the house is absolutely all metal, you can probably pick up a ground from the plumbing. If, however, at any time during the past 100 years someone has replaced any of the water lines or sewer lines with PVC pipe, there is a good chance that the plumbing is no longer at ground potential. The good news is that neither of the wires that you are trying to determine is hot will show primary voltage on your meter if the reference point that you are working with is not at ground potential. But don't just measure one wire, see that there is no voltage on it, and assume that is the neutral wire. Check both of the wires to insure that one is at primary voltage and the other is at zero potential before you make any decision about which wire is "hot".
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Today's Featured Article - Show Coverage: Journey to Ankeny - by Cindy Ladage. We left Illinois on the first day of July and headed north and west for Ankeny, Iowa. Minus two kids, we traveled light with only the youngest in tow. As long as a pool was at the end of our destination she was easy to please unlike the other two who have a multitude of requirements to travel with mom and dad. Amana Colonies served as a respite where we ate a family style lunch that sustained us with more food than could reasonably fit into our ample physiques. The show at Ankeny
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