Yes, the help, and protection, and infrastructure subsidies Big Oil gets would change things, but but we don't have to even include those.
Ethanol does not get any subsidies any more, that ended years ago. It was a 'start up' program to get the industry off the ground.
Grain farming gets some subsidies, because people in the USA want cheap food, they want excess food so there is never a shortage. And so, food is subsidied.
In the 1980s the subsidies and pile of excess food got very large. People told farmers to find their own cure, they are tired of using tax money to subsidize farmers.
So maybe farmers in my state and surrounding ones started ethanol plants, using their own money in coop investments to build the plants. The govt used the starter subsidies on ethanol to ensure the investment would be worth while.
It was money out of farmers pockets that started the industry tho.
So we did our job.
Without ethanol, you would have more, bigger Ag subsidies going on. We wouldn't have an even use of grains, local markets, etc. we would be back to the 1980s.
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