A few thoughts on how to use pesticide and chemical restrictions to help US farmers and maybe a worst case scenario if US farmers continue to resist environmental protections.
Right now 40 percent of the US corn production is going into ethanol production. That won't and can't go on forever because petroleum and natural gas supplies are also expanding even faster than corn production and will soon undercut the profitability of continuing ethanol production (unless corn prices fall drastically). When ethanol is eventually phased out there will be an extreme glut of corn in the US market, especially if China decides to shifts it's pork production to South America and by-pass the US pork market. That could possibly trigger a crash in the farm economy as big or bigger than the 1980's farm crisis.
For generations of US farmers are geared to expansion and increasing production. Can and will million US farmers be able to cooperate well enough to cut corn production by 20 to 40 percent (2 billion to 4 billion fewer bushels)? That seems doubtful, unless the federal government adopts another 1960's style set-aside program that could cost taxpayers hundreds of billion dollars a year.
In the mean time US farmers seem to be telling the US consumers (tax payers and voters) that: they must eat foods with GMO so US farmers can make more money; they must pay more taxes to remove nitrates from their water so US farmers can make more money; they must put up with more and more pesticides in their food and in their water so US farmers can make more money; they must more property taxes to repairs to rural roads because US Farmers don't want to pay taxes; They can't live in the country or have better roads because US farmers need every acre of farmland available to make more money.
Eventually the voters and taxpayers might have a choice between: A. paying trillions of dollars in taxes to prevent an inevitable farm crisis; or B. pass simple restrictions on pesticides, fertilizers and GMOs that could: cut overproduction enough to get back in alignment with demand and stabilize corn prices at still profitable level; improve water quality; deliver GMO free and chemical free foods; prevent a major crash in the farm economy; at practically no cost to US taxpayers or farmers.
Are US farmers smart enough to use environmental protections to work in their benefit?
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