Posted by Kent in KC on June 27, 2008 at 08:54:22 from (68.143.51.46):
There is a nice thread here on obsolete jobs and occupations. Rather than hijack that thread I thought I'd start a new one. My kids are getting up into their late teens and early twenties and I've been trying to stimulate their thinking about what kinds of careers they might want to think about in this changing world of ours.
I think we will see some of the old trades and crafts return. With oil getting more ridiculous every day and eventually probably running out, there will be blacksmiths for the horses, seamstresses, cobblers to fix the shoes since people will be walking more, cartwrights and coachmakers, family grocers, doctors that make house calls (think about it, what a competitive advantage, especially if he takes a horse and buggy) and so on. Steam engines may be revisited along with water-powered grain mills. Buy Aeromotor stock.
People will be healthier because of less stress (no more road rage and hours stuck in traffic), walking more, eating less and eating healthier food from the garden and spending less time flopped in front of the TV (we'll limit TV time because electricity will be so expensive).
Gardening, chopping wood, caring for animals and gabbing over the fence with your neighbor that's doing the same things, will also lead to better mental health.
We'll always need electricians and techs for solar and wind generators, computer geeks, nuclear power engineers and biotech people. Walmart will not be able to compete with goods shipped from China (because of shipping costs) so local economies and mom and pop businesses will revive around traditional small towns again. People will have to get most everything they need within a few miles of home. Door to door salesmen will make a comeback. Sailboats will supersede power boats.
Families will almost always have vegetable gardens and maybe a few chickens. People will stay home more and spend time with their families (yikes!) and multiple generations will live together in the same house, just like the old days. Crime may go down since people will again know their neighbors and the village will once more raise the child.
America will become a high-tech/low-tech organic agrarian economy. People will study old farming methods. The Amish and Mennonites won't notice the difference.
We'll quit fighting over oil once its gone or the cost to fight exceeds the value of the spoils. Maybe peace will break out when we leave places where we're not welcome anyway. Yankee will finally go home. We'll need our boys on the farms.
The end of cheap oil and climate change may not be all bad. Indeed, after a couple generations there may be many positive effects of it. Its a bitter pill for our kids to swallow but I believe the world they leave their children will, in some unexpected ways, be a better one than we handed them.
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