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Re: How many are left?
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Posted by Bill Smith on August 16, 2001 at 19:47:20 from (128.242.4.59):
In Reply to: How many are left? posted by Sven on August 16, 2001 at 09:15:24:
Well I live in rural farming area and farms here have gotten 10 times bigger than what they were in the 30's and 40's. Not 10 times smaller. You have to go to either coast or near an urban area to see farms in real small acres. In my area you have to farm 800 acres to even be in the buisness. Farmers are all upgrading or buying new equipment. They no longer find jobs for the smaller outdated equipment. They are just to small and to slow to get anything done. Anything pre 1950 is out of the question for efficient use. Sure there are people building houses in urban areas with a little acreage and have an antique tractor and fart around mowing their yard or putting up a little hay but they aren't making a living doing that. I bet if you asked them why they got an antique tractor, 75% of them would say they were around that particular model when they were a kid or their Gandpa had one or something to that effect. Thier are alot of people that can remember these tractors from their childhood. But these people aren't getting any younger. Someone that was 18 in 1950 would be 68 or 69 right now. Not to many of them will be around 20 years from now. They would be 88 by then and that is well past average life expectancy. Some of their kids and grandkids will step up to bat just becuase it was their dad's or grandpa's but that number will certainly not be 100%. I think the interest in owning and using these pre 1950 and even newer classic tractors will deminish when the remembering generation dwindles down. It will be like horse drawn equipment, steam engines, oil pulls, and even the Ford Model T, in a few more years they will only be known as antiques, only getting stored and not used and will only be worth as much as they are rare. Right now tractors that are fixed up in good shape are only bringing what they sold for new and that is not factoring in any inflation. Once you factor that in they are bringing alot less than they did new and are in good shape. This goes for a big span of years from antique to classic to modern day. A few bring alot more but only becuase of being rare. Being rare in most cases means being rare from factory. No way to tell how many are parted out, or melted down or remain in a ditch unrestorable. I would say less than half of most models will see 125 years. Perhaps less than 1/3 with some models. Go to a salvage yard and see how many tractors are their being parted out. It would really supprize ya how many tractors are in salvage yards or remain incomplete across the country. Now way to even guess how many were melted down or completely parted out.
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